Out with the Old, In with the New

In an attempt to keep up with the times and create an opportunity for other folks to contribute their ideas and insights on and about Alaska, this will be our last issue of the Water Policy Consulting Newsletter. Instead, staring the first of January, we will shift our energies to a new blog under the name of Boreal Observer. This will allow us to expand our audience and speak out more directly about issues facing Alaska. As always, our focus will include the evolving climate crisis, timber and mining issues, water rights, and litigation. Additionally, we will add a focus on community and environmental resilience and appreciation of this, our last great wilderness.  You can find us at https://borealobserver.com

 

If you, or someone you know, is interested in sharing essays or photos about their observations and experiences in Alaska, please contact us for more information about submissions.

 

 

Trump Makes Haste to Lay Waste to the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge

In an effort to hold oil and gas lease sales in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge before President Trump leaves office on January 20th, the Bureau of Land Management has issued a call for nominations. The timing is tight. A 30-day call for submissions will end December 17th followed by a 30-day notice prior to final lease sales. With 1.6 million acres of caribou and polar bear habitat at stake, conservative groups around the country, along with the Gwich’in Steering Committee, are suing the Trump administration over violations to the Endangered Species Act, a flawed environmental impact statement, and the foreshortened two-week public comment period (which ended on November 6th) following the initial announcement of the plan.

 

Despite the last-minute opportunity for lease sales, bidders may be hesitant, given President-Elect Joe Biden’s victory. Biden is adamantly opposed to opening the refuge and has vowed to use the powers at his disposal, be it a congressional bill or an executive decision, to thwart oil and gas lease sales on the Arctic Plane. Couple that with a growing list of major banks unwilling to lend capitol to developers eyeing the Refuge, ferocious legal opposition from numerous environmental and Native challengers, and continued low oil prices, there’s good reason to hope that Big Oil will leave well enough alone.

 

ConocoPhillips Receives Final Approval for New Arctic Field

The Bureau of Land Management gave their Record of Decision go-ahead for the Willow Master Development Plan, paving the way for ConocoPhillips to tap the projected 590-million-barrel reserve on the eastern edge of the National Petroleum Reserve. While Alaskan delegates may cheer the news, environmental groups see it as yet another failure of the State and Federal governments to scale down oil production in favor of carbon-neutral technology. Read more.

Lawsuit Seeks to Halt Ambler Road Project

Once again, the Trump administration is embroiled in a lawsuit, this time with Tanana Chiefs Conference, over a “rushed, flawed, premature, and inadequate” environmental impact statement related to the proposed Ambler Road Project.  The Tanana Chiefs Conference, plus a number of other independent Athabascan and Inupiat villages, have filed suit to halt the 211-mile industrial road.  The road will open up access through the foothills of the Brooks Range to copper deposits on Bureau of Land Management lands. According to the lawsuit, “Mining operations are anticipated to sprawl out in every direction from the road corridor passing directly through and between several National Parks, National Wildlife Refuges, and other conservation system units, thus piercing the heart of one of the most spectacular and sensitive regions of Interior Alaska.”

Governor Dunleavy Nominations Graphite Creek Project to Fast-41 Permitting

 

Hot Springs Creek Below the Proposed Graphite One Mine Site

Due to Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy’s nomination of Graphite Creek project in the remote Kigluaik range north of Nome, as a high-priority infrastructure project, as eligible for new legislation intended to fast track the permitting process for transportation projects. Title 41 of the Fixing America’s Surface Transportation Act, (Fast-41) adopted by Congress during the Obama administration which was intended to be a surface transportation reauthorization focusing on highway, transit, and rail programs. The Act establishes a new Federal Permitting Improvement Steering Council (FPISC), authorized to stream line the NEPA process including elimination of public review and comment. Due to the unprecedented authority provided to the Council, until now, the Act has traditionally been applied only to Infrastructure and transportation Projects.

However, mining companies and the Trump administration have been pressuring FPISC to include mining as a sector under the Act. According to the mining industry magazine Critical Minerals Alaska 2020, “a federal entity meant to provide a one-stop-shop capable of coordinating permits across different federal agencies, thereby streamlining and shortening the overall process for large infrastructure projects that are eligible for the program.  Mining projects that supply the materials needed for the energy, communication, and transportation infrastructure in the U.S. may be eligible for Fast-41.” [1] If the proposed Graphite One Mine is included into Fast-41, Critical Minerals Alaska 2020 says it “could help reduce the seven to 10 years it takes the average large mining project in the U.S. to get through the permitting process.”[2]

The sudden surge in the mining of graphite and other precious minerals in Alaska results from a dramatic increase in demand for batteries, solar power, computers, and other high-tech products that require such minerals. For instance, graphite is a significant component of the lithium-ion batteries used for electric cars and some renewable energy systems. According to the World Bank , due to the growing global interest in such cars and energy, the demand for graphite, lithium, cobalt, and other battery metals could increase by nearly 500 percent by 2050.[1] The report says that, “[g]raphite demand increases in both absolute and percentage terms since graphite is needed to build the anodes found in the most commonly deployed automotive, grid, and decentralized batteries. ” Similarly, according the United States Geological Survey, there are currently no graphite mines in the United States, requiring American battery and other manufacturers to import 58,000 metric tons of graphite during 2019.[2]  According to CMA2020, with “5.7 million metric tons of quality graphite outlined so far, Graphite One Inc.’s Graphite Creek deposit in Northwest Alaska could provide a reliable domestic supply of graphite to North America’s burgeoning lithium-ion battery sector.” [3]

[1] Shane Lasley, High priority Alaska REE, graphite projects Gov nominations elevate mine projects to Fast-41 permitting, p. 6-7, High priority Alaska 2020 (November 2, 2020).

[2] Ibid.

[3] Shane Lasley, Western Alaska deposit could feed graphite into supply chain, Mining News, CRITICAL MINERALS ALASKA, pp. 28-29 (2020)

Reversing Trump’s Environmental Policies Under a Biden Administration will be a Tall Order

This year’s presidential election was a close race in a handful of states. When the Associated Press announced that, for just the second time in 70 years, with the help from the Native vote, announced a decisive win for Democrat Joe Biden announced an ambitious Indian Policy as part of his campaign, over President Trump on November 7, 2020. This was partly due to record turnout throughout the country, including pivotal votes from Native Americans in key states. As of 2018, the state of Arizona alone which turned from red to blue this election cycle, members of federally recognized tribes made almost 6% of the population and the Navajo Nation alone contains around 67,000 eligible voters.

The question on everyone’s mind is whether a Biden win will end Trump’s war on the environment. If the democrats do not become the majority party in the senate, in order to stay on track with his environmental agenda, Biden will need to rely primarily on executive actions and essential legislative measures like tax reform, the federal budget and the Farm Bill. Just hours after the United States officially withdrew from the Paris accord, on the day after the election, for example, Biden announced that he would reverse that decision on the first day of his term in office.

During his candidacy, Biden also pledged to reverse several of Trump’s Alaska initiatives including drilling in the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge and issuing a permit to develop the Pebble Mine. Also, in relation to Alaska Native Tribes Biden plans to create a new division of the Justice Department that will focus on environmental and climate justice and to incorporate environmental justice throughout EPA programs.

The key will be how hard will the Trump administration push for completion of it’s resource extraction agenda before he leaves office on January 20. Although, The Trump administration recently issued a request to energy companies to identify what specific land areas in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge should be offered for sale, this will be difficult due to the remaining environmental analysis, leasing logistics and the fact that global banks continue to adopt policies stating that they will not fund drilling in the Arctic due to climate change. And there’s also the fact that many of the Trump administrations decisions affecting BLM lands, including ANWR and the NPRA leasing were made by Scott Pendly who has been serving illegally as the Director of the Bureau of Land Management for the past 14 months.

Never one to let a small thing like the law get in the way of opening lands up to resource extraction activity however, Trump could simple move to put leases in ANWR and open up areas to mining, despite federal laws or even court orders to the contrary before leaving office. And then there’s the fact that Trump has not conceded the elections results to Biden and may not leave the Whitehouse at all.

The GOP’s slide towards Authoritarianism Under Trump

Despite the legitimate elections results, that the Trump administration, so far, has no intention of leaving the Whitehouse in January, is best illustrated by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s response that “[t]here will be a smooth transition to a second Trump administration” when recently asked by reporters about the transition of power to president elect Joe Biden. So while the Trump administration holds the country hostage during a pandemic that it has done little to control, it’s no wonder CNN’s Anderson Cooper vented his frustration by stating: “That is the president of the United States. That is the most powerful person in the world. We see him like an obese turtle on his back flailing in the hot sun, realizing his time is over.”

In her book “Fascism – A Warning” former Secretary of State, Madeleine Albright is more direct: “If we think of Fascism as wound from the past that had almost healed, putting Trump in the White House was like ripping off the bandage and picking at the scab.” Albright says that “we have not had a chief executive in the modern era whose statements and actions are so at odds with democratic ideals.”

The real concern for the future of democracy in the United States, however, is not Trump’s latest attention grabbing temper tantrum, but the fact that the GOP is not the same party it was before he took office. In fact, Senate Republican’s continued support for Trump’s current bullying behavior, signifies the party’s gradual move away from democratic principals that started long before the 2016 election.

In the summer of 2005, for example, President George W. Bush found that he had two opportunities to replace the U.S. Supreme Court Justices William Rehnquist and Sandra Day O’Conner with conservative idealogues, the New York times warned that we should “[i]magine a country in which Social Security, job safety laws and environmental protections were unconstitutional. Imagine judges longing for that. Imagine one of them as the next Supreme Court nominee [and then] imagine the American public is powerless to stop them.”

Ever since 2005, in addition to continuing to stack the courts, the republican party has been steadily moving further to the right and slowly consolidating power as it moves towards autocracy. In fact, the extent to which the party no longer adheres to democratic ideals and morals is so dramatic that just before the Nov. 3 election, an international team of political scientists was able to quantify it. The V-Dem Institute interviewed over 600 political experts from around the world who made assessments of political parties from different countries adherence to key democratic values and developed a report that illustrates the GOP’s continued it’s decline during the Obama administration with the rise of the tea party whose members accused president Obama of being both a socialist and a Nazi at the same time and suggested that he was subverting the Constitution and then dropped substantially in 2016 after Trump won the presidential election.

According to the V-Dem Institute scientists, GOP’s hedging toward authoritarianism has only become more apparent in the days following the 2020 election. Anna Lührmann political scientist with Sweden’s University of Gothenburg says “It is disturbing that most leading Republicans are still not objecting to President Trump’s baseless claims of electoral fraud and attempts to declare himself the winner.”

If there’s one thing republican leadership learned from Trump, it’s that, as long as you’re the party in power, you can get away with just about anything. As a result, the not only did the republican party’s hunger for more power sky-rocket under Trump, but both Republican and Democratic rejection of the use of violence against political opponents changed starting with the 2016 campaign. At that time, Trump encouraged violence against opposition protesters and then as President, praised Montana Republican congressional candidate Greg Gianforte who was convicted of assault for body slamming a reporter and defended right-wing violence in relation to Black Lives Matters protesters.

That Trump’s violent rhetoric during the 2016 election, inspired even elected officials is illustrated by right-wing Kentucky Governor, Matt Bevin’s statement that violence against political opponents may be necessary if Hillary Clinton won. Then in September 2020, Facebook removed a post by Georgia republican congressional, candidate  Marjorie Taylor Greene for violating a policy against inciting violence. Regardless, Taylor Greene, who ran largely un-opposed, won and is now serving as Georgia’s representatives in the House.

The transformation of the GOP under Trump therefore, is the realization that as long as they are the party in power, they can get away with just about anything. If democrats, therefore, fail to take the senate in the last election and the main focus of Senate Republicans will be to disrupt Biden’s agenda, so that they can re-claim the presidency in 2024.

As stated by Christopher Ingraham of the Washington Post the “V-Dem’s data underscores how much of Many of the GOP leaders going along with Trump’s baseless claims of voter fraud will still be in office after he leaves.” Unless the Senate turns once all the ballots are counted, therefore, it best it will be difficult, for example, for Biden to obtain confirmation of cabinet, federal court and other nominees which must be approved by the increasingly authoritarian leaning senate. Similarly, with loss of seats in the House, Democrats lead will be slimmer there and many more will be reluctant to stick their necks out for democracy resulting in less decisive decisions on many issues. At worst, if the senate repulicans are not held accountable for embracing authoritarianism, the future of democracy is in jeopardy.